As the eternal campaign season slaloms into summertime, both
Democrats and Republicans face a PR crisis unprecedented in the modern era.
Both top candidates face major unfavorable ratings, and both also face a strong
insurgency from outsider candidates. Hillary is fighting Independent Vermont
Senator Bernie Sanders, who is neck and neck for the nomination despite not
actually being a Democrat.
Meanwhile, on the GOP side, the NeverTrump movement may have found
its golden boy in Libertarian Gary Johnson. The perennial “third party”
candidate is getting more buzz this season than he ever has, and that might
prove to be trouble for Trump in November. Donald continues to radiate confidence,
and why not, considering he’s still racking up primary victories, and he’s
closing the gap on Hillary in the polls. But there are still many, many GOP
voters who wake up every day hoping this is all a dream, or, more to the point,
a nightmare. They don’t want to vote “Trump” no matter what.
Expect the Unexpected this Election Cycle
Conventional wisdom says they have no choice, but if anything is
clear about this election cycle, it’s that conventional wisdom isn’t so wise.
Nothing has gone like expected in this cycle. Back in the early going even
Donald Trump didn’t predict his victory. He told some media outlets he expected
to win 20 percent or so. But he just kept swinging and kept winning.
Master of Branding
And then there’s the irrefutable reality that Trump is a master at
branding. That, more than anything else, is his stock in trade. He has made his
name a brand representing multiple industries and, in a very real sense, Trump
equals success. That’s a mastermind accomplishment from a PR perspective.
People who don’t pay any attention to politics know who Trump is, and they know
he’s successful. Critics like to argue that “they” know it because Trump won’t
stop telling them. But, honestly, when the time comes to vote, it won’t matter
how they know that. They will “know” … they will have internalized that
knowledge … and that’s what matters.
So Trump keeps selling his name, and he’s also started selling the
GOP insiders on his credentials. When compared to Clinton, he’s the obvious
choice, he says. Just look at all the Conservatives who are lining up to ride
the Trump train.
Echoing this theme, Trump is knocking heavily on the Supreme Court
issue. Regardless of any policy issues, this factor looms very large for many
in the GOP. It may just be the make or break issue for many in the party. They
can tolerate just about any dissension if it keeps Hillary from loading the
courts with her picks.
This is not going to be Trump’s only sales pitch, but it’s an
impactful one, showing he’s going to swing for the fences right out of the
gate.
David Milberg is an financial analyst in NYC.
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